Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 3.399181 3.791005 4.216018 4.712306 5.277197 5.901631 6.646164
2025-03-02 2.746224 3.251887 3.839600 4.576908 5.482380 6.564733 7.966415
2025-03-09 2.360573 2.922496 3.610286 4.521647 5.708805 7.218278 9.307672
2025-03-16 2.082034 2.670784 3.421963 4.462589 5.885604 7.790892 10.581788
2025-03-23 1.951823 2.584396 3.422161 4.630602 6.358569 8.786144 12.537498
2025-03-30 1.787678 2.430488 3.308853 4.619975 6.567801 9.420548 14.040713
2025-04-06 1.642297 2.285463 3.188971 4.579462 6.717540 9.969770 15.469460
2025-04-13 1.461792 2.073172 2.951645 4.337998 6.531402 9.975093 16.015054
2025-04-20 1.372696 1.985581 2.887237 4.348272 6.730760 10.599964 17.658853
2025-04-27 1.314056 1.937633 2.876424 4.437731 7.061229 11.468449 19.835521
2025-05-04 1.260248 1.892029 2.864014 4.520806 7.385450 12.356781 22.166844
2025-05-11 1.203311 1.836673 2.830763 4.564385 7.642975 13.151681 24.429314
2025-05-18 1.147794 1.781156 2.795385 4.605388 7.908023 14.005842 26.973422
2025-05-25 1.065962 1.677204 2.672610 4.483898 7.865844 14.279671 28.374102
2025-06-01 1.004750 1.602950 2.593714 4.432299 7.946428 14.796040 30.366084
2025-06-08 0.948136 1.532493 2.515891 4.375124 8.008890 15.280567 32.360901
2025-06-15 0.932360 1.530486 2.556322 4.539465 8.520810 16.746105 36.856665
2025-06-22 0.890482 1.480164 2.507208 4.529109 8.678698 17.480630 39.733738
2025-06-29 0.847587 1.425282 2.445918 4.489519 8.771101 18.081539 42.381408
2025-07-06 0.780331 1.322928 2.291254 4.253496 8.425375 17.659807 42.319692
2025-07-13 0.751479 1.288545 2.260544 4.263539 8.610760 18.477770 45.699738
2025-07-20 0.734534 1.274896 2.267715 4.350988 8.974725 19.760888 50.606750
2025-07-27 0.717667 1.260294 2.271895 4.432191 9.332656 21.076159 55.876692